(NationRise.com) – The near-record number of senators and congressional representatives departing from the House is leaving the Democrat party vulnerable ahead of the 2024 elections.
That exodus is creating a perfect storm as another massive exodus of Californians is causing the Democrat stronghold to likely lose four congressional seats. This means that some departing Democrats have seats that won’t be replaced. New York and several other blue states are also losing delegates as their populations dwindle.
Consequently, the population surges in states like Florida and Texas could give the conservative strongholds more delegates. The states are projected to gain three so far. Political science professor Thad Kousser believes California is likely to appear less threatening in the 2024 elections.
The shifts come as dozens of lawmakers announce their decisions to withdraw from the 2024 elections. Many are citing either more time with relatives or a notable immaturity in government as the reason. The House has been plagued by bickering and even threats in recent months.
All but one of the Republican seats are in solidly red districts. It is the seats left behind by exiting Democrats that offer competition. According to National Republican Congressional Committee spokesman Jack Pandol, the threshold for Democrats to regain a congressional majority has been made steeper by the departing lawmakers. Other experts, including David Wasserman at Cook Political Report, agree and say this could herald a substantial victory for Donald Trump.
The departures will leave both parties struggling to find new candidates as campaign season continues heating up. There have been funding concerns across the aisle as each party attempts to build name recognition for their candidates in time for them to act as viable candidates in less than one year. However, they also need to vet incoming candidates for their experience and backgrounds.
Democrats will have an even more difficult time as they consider the ability of each candidate to win. They face an uphill battle as inflation and mental health concerns continue to plague the Biden administration and those running in his party.
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